{"id":848,"date":"2012-12-12T14:11:13","date_gmt":"2012-12-12T14:11:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/?p=848"},"modified":"2013-02-04T12:58:20","modified_gmt":"2013-02-04T12:58:20","slug":"environment-advisor-climate-talk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/2012\/12\/environment-advisor-climate-talk\/","title":{"rendered":"UK Environment Advisor&#8217;s talk on climate change"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>If you are in any doubt that climate change is the biggest issue of our time, then I highly recommend watching the talk given by Prof Robert Watson, the former Chief Scientific Advisor to the UK&#8217;s Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.defra.gov.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\">DEFRA<\/a>), at the American Geophysical Union (<a href=\"http:\/\/sites.agu.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">AGU<\/a>) conference last week.<\/p>\n<p>The talk is not too technical, so is understandable to a wide audience.\u00a0 In it, he summarises the latest scientific data on climate change.\u00a0 He covers current trends, future projections and the ways that we must adapt to limit its effects.\u00a0 The outlook is grim.\u00a0 The main points are that global temperatures will almost certainly rise by more than 2\u00b0C and so we must plan for increased droughts and storms, sea level rises, reduced crop yields, displaced people and widespread extinction of many species.\u00a0 The way we live is going to look very different in 30-50 years time.<\/p>\n<p>The full video is 1 hour long.\u00a0 You can watch it below, or on the <a href=\"http:\/\/fallmeeting.agu.org\/2012\/events\/union-frontiers-of-geophysics-lecture-professor-sir-bob-watson-cmg-frs-chief-scientific-adviser-to-defra\/\" target=\"_blank\">AGU website<\/a>, where there is discussion on the comments.\u00a0 If you have less time, I have made links that skip to the various sections (see below).\u00a0 Of these, the two that you must watch are the sections on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=5m0s\" target=\"_blank\">observations and projected changes<\/a> (less than 7 minutes; 05:00-11:22) and on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=30m05s\" target=\"_blank\">the 2\u00b0C limit and how we will miss it<\/a> (5 and a half minutes; 30:05-35:22).<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Fall Meeting 2012 Frontiers of Geophysics Lecture - Professor Sir Bob Watson\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Yaf0DGVAJAg?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Academics see talks like this all the time, but for non-academics watching the video, I hope that you will also take away the following points:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>This is a scientist talking to a load of other scientists.\u00a0 There is no hype, no dramatic music, and no cute baby polar bears.\u00a0 There are only data, graphs and trying to understand what they all mean.<\/li>\n<li>There has been a huge amount of research into climate change.\u00a0 Each of those graphs represents months, years, or decades of painstaking work.\u00a0 The headlines that make the mainstream news gloss over how incredibly detailed our knowledge of current and past climates is.<\/li>\n<li>Where there is uncertainty in our understanding, it is acknowledged and discussed.\u00a0 We do not know if the Earth will heat by 3\u00b0C or 5\u00b0C.\u00a0 But there is very little doubt that man&#8217;s activities are the main drivers in the current changes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Glossary<\/h3>\n<p>Some technical terms are used in the talk.\u00a0 You can look most of them up on Wikipedia or Google.\u00a0 The following definitions may help understanding the two key sections of the video.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>IPCC<\/strong> &#8211; The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is a body set up by the United Nations to create reports summarising our latest knowledge on climate change.\u00a0 The last report came out in 2007, the next one is due in 2014.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Scenarios<\/strong> &#8211; The climate of the future depends on changes in economies and populations.\u00a0 We do not know what those will be.\u00a0 So the IPCC reports include estimates for a number of possible scenarios and compare the differences.\u00a0 Those beginning with <em>A<\/em> represent more human activity and pollution.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Peer review<\/strong> &#8211; The process where studies are sent to other scientists before publication.\u00a0 They check that methods were good and that the conclusions are correct.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Aerosols<\/strong> &#8211; Tiny particles floating in the air.\u00a0 These are pollution, and cause acid rain and breathing problems, so we are trying to get rid of them.\u00a0 But they also reflect sunlight back into space and have kept the climate of the last century lower than it would have been.\u00a0 Temperatures will rise as we clean them up.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #808080\"><strong>Edit 04 Feb 2013<\/strong>:\u00a0 if you found this video interesting\/useful, here are links to two others.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #808080\">Albert Bartlett&#8217;s excellent classroom lecture on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=F-QA2rkpBSY\" target=\"_blank\">Arithmetic, Population and Energy<\/a> now has over 4 million well-deserved views and demonstrates the power of exponential growth.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #808080\">Richard &#8216;Two-Mile Time Machine&#8217; Alley&#8217;s lecture at AGU in 2009 describes the <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/wildwildscience\/2013\/01\/12\/dr-richard-alley-at-the-agu-well-worth-a-watch\/\" target=\"_blank\">role of carbon dioxide in changing the Earth&#8217;s climate<\/a> both recently and over timescales of millions of years.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul><\/ul>\n<h3>Index<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=0m0s\" target=\"_blank\">00:00\u00a0 &#8211;\u00a0 Introduction of speaker<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=2m03s\" target=\"_blank\">02:03  &#8211;  Talk begins<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=5m0s\" target=\"_blank\">05:00  &#8211;  Observations<\/a><\/strong>*<\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=8m31s\" target=\"_blank\">08:31  &#8211;  Projected changes in temperature and rainfall<\/a><\/strong>*<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=11m22s\" target=\"_blank\">11:22  &#8211;  Sea level rise<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=16m03s\" target=\"_blank\">16:03  &#8211;  Melting glaciers and sea ice<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=17m48s\" target=\"_blank\">17:48  &#8211;  Tropical storms and heatwaves<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=19m20s\" target=\"_blank\">19:20  &#8211;  Effect on biodiversity and extinctions<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=25m37s\" target=\"_blank\">25:37  &#8211;  Ocean acidification<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=27m02s\" target=\"_blank\">27:02  &#8211;  Agriculture<\/a><\/strong>*<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=28m54s\" target=\"_blank\">28:54  &#8211;  Conflict<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=30m05s\" target=\"_blank\">30:05  &#8211;  Aiming for less than 2\u00b0C<\/a><\/strong>*<\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=33m08s\" target=\"_blank\">33:08  &#8211;  Why we&#8217;ll miss the target<\/a><\/strong>*<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=35m22s\" target=\"_blank\">35:22  &#8211;  Global CO<sub>2<\/sub> sources<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=40m07s\" target=\"_blank\">40:07  &#8211;  Our current trajectory<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=41m40s\" target=\"_blank\">41:40  &#8211;  What we need to do<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=43m48s\" target=\"_blank\">43:48  &#8211;  Technological changes<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=45m31s\" target=\"_blank\">45:31  &#8211;  Biodiversity and ecosystems adaptation<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=47m44s\" target=\"_blank\">47:44  &#8211;  Political requirements and possible actions<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=48m52s\" target=\"_blank\">48:52  &#8211;  Geoengineering<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=49m53s\" target=\"_blank\">49:53  &#8211;  The Future Earth programme<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=52m58s\" target=\"_blank\">52:58  &#8211;  Conclusions<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=Yaf0DGVAJAg#t=54m41s\" target=\"_blank\">54:41  &#8211;  Questions<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>* These are the key sections to watch if you have limited time.<\/p>\n<p>Thanks to Simon Carn (<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/simoncarn\" target=\"_blank\">@simoncarn<\/a>) for tweeting the link to the talk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you are in any doubt that climate change is the biggest issue of our time, then I highly recommend watching the talk given by Prof Robert Watson, the former Chief Scientific Advisor to the UK&#8217;s Department for Environment, Food &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/2012\/12\/environment-advisor-climate-talk\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-848","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/848","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=848"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/848\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":879,"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/848\/revisions\/879"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=848"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=848"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/volcan01010\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=848"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}