{"id":10063,"date":"2018-05-13T12:58:59","date_gmt":"2018-05-13T17:58:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes.jpeg"},"modified":"2018-05-13T13:03:35","modified_gmt":"2018-05-13T18:03:35","slug":"predict_quakes","status":"inherit","type":"attachment","link":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/2018\/05\/earthquake-prediction-is-a-fools-errand\/predict_quakes\/","title":{"rendered":"Predict_Quakes"},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":[],"class_list":["post-10063","attachment","type-attachment","status-inherit","hentry"],"description":{"rendered":"<p class=\"attachment\"><a href='https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes.jpeg'><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"245\" src=\"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes-300x245.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Sketch plot of relationship between the timescale of an earthquake prediction and the likelihood of it being true - the curve is a step function, showing a high chance of being wrong for all periods of less than a few centuries\" srcset=\"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes-300x245.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes-768x627.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes-600x490.jpeg 600w, https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes.jpeg 2039w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sketch plot of relationship between the timescale of an earthquake prediction and the likelihood of it being true &#8211; the curve is a step function, showing a high chance of being wrong for all periods of less than a few centuries<\/p>\n"},"caption":{"rendered":"<p>Our certainty about an earthquake occurring within a particular timeframe is only high over periods of centuries or more. For anything less, our prediction has a very high chance of being wrong. <a href=\"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/2018\/05\/earthquake-prediction-is-a-fools-errand\/predict_quakes\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n"},"alt_text":"Sketch plot of relationship between the timescale of an earthquake prediction and the likelihood of it being true - the curve is a step function, showing a high chance of being wrong for all periods of less than a few centuries","media_type":"image","mime_type":"image\/jpeg","media_details":{"width":2039,"height":1664,"file":"2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes.jpeg","sizes":{"thumbnail":{"file":"Predict_Quakes-150x150.jpeg","width":150,"height":150,"mime_type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes-150x150.jpeg"},"medium":{"file":"Predict_Quakes-300x245.jpeg","width":300,"height":245,"mime_type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes-300x245.jpeg"},"medium_large":{"file":"Predict_Quakes-768x627.jpeg","width":768,"height":627,"mime_type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes-768x627.jpeg"},"large":{"file":"Predict_Quakes-600x490.jpeg","width":600,"height":490,"mime_type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes-600x490.jpeg"},"wptouch-new-thumbnail":{"file":"Predict_Quakes-144x144.jpeg","width":144,"height":144,"mime_type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes-144x144.jpeg"},"post-thumbnail":{"file":"Predict_Quakes-940x198.jpeg","width":940,"height":198,"mime_type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes-940x198.jpeg"},"full":{"file":"Predict_Quakes.jpeg","width":2039,"height":1664,"mime_type":"image\/jpeg","source_url":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes.jpeg"}},"image_meta":{"aperture":"0","credit":"","camera":"","caption":"","created_timestamp":"0","copyright":"","focal_length":"0","iso":"0","shutter_speed":"0","title":"","orientation":"0","keywords":[]}},"post":10060,"source_url":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Predict_Quakes.jpeg","filename":"Predict_Quakes.jpeg","filesize":231571,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10063","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/attachment"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10063"}],"wp:attached-to":[{"embeddable":true,"post_type":"post","id":10060,"href":"https:\/\/all-geo.org\/highlyallochthonous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10060"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}